Calamity
criticalFireCalamity Score: 68

Major Wildfire

18h agoLagoa da ConfusãoBrazilSource: firms

53 fire pixels detected · FRP: 1000 MW · ~7.4 km²

Geographic Context

This fire event occurred near Lagoa da Confusão (approximately 29 km away) in Brazil, an area where deforestation, agricultural practices, and dry season conditions contribute to wildfire frequency. An estimated 6.8K people live within 50 km of the event location, placing this in the "significant" population impact tier.

Event Assessment

This event is a large-scale wildfire with a fire radiative power (FRP) of 1000 MW, indicating extreme heat output and rapid fire spread. Calamity.live has classified it as "critical" severity with a severity value of 100. The computed Calamity Score is 68 out of 100, reflecting a moderate-impact event. The primary scoring components are: intensity (95), historical (80), cascading (70). Data for this event was sourced from firms, one of the 250 scientific monitoring sources aggregated by Calamity.live.

Regional Monitoring Context

Brazil has a documented history of fire events. Wildfire activity in the region is monitored through NASA FIRMS (Fire Information for Resource Management System), which provides near-real-time active fire data from MODIS and VIIRS satellites. Fire behavior is influenced by vegetation type, moisture content, wind patterns, and terrain — all factors that determine whether an initial ignition becomes a major event.

Cascade Risk Analysis

This event may trigger secondary hazards through cascade effects. Cascade detection is an automated process that evaluates how primary disasters can trigger secondary events — for example, earthquakes triggering landslides, or volcanic eruptions causing lahars and pyroclastic flows. These secondary hazards can sometimes pose a greater threat than the initial event, particularly in mountainous terrain or densely populated areas.

Event Data

TypeFire
Severitycritical
Severity Value100
Calamity Score68 / 100
Confidence84%
Coordinates-10.5592, -49.7449
Nearest CityLagoa da Confusão (29 km)
Population Exposed6.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-14T23:58:33.596Z

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
25
population
70
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

Brightness367
Frp1000.47
PixelCount53
Confidencehigh
Area Km27.420000000000001

Cascade Risks

cascade

Safety Information

If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a fire event with CalamityScore 68/100, near Lagoa da Confusão (Brazil), based on data from firms. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 207 scientific monitoring sources.